Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.427006 4.763775 5.126314 5.547813 6.027209 6.558906 7.198015
2025-07-27 3.964481 4.440604 4.988141 5.673409 6.521471 7.555477 8.942939
2025-08-03 3.626132 4.168221 4.819385 5.676887 6.805180 8.284843 10.459207
2025-08-10 3.330563 3.898250 4.601526 5.562706 6.887521 8.728121 11.647258
2025-08-17 3.081681 3.656443 4.385439 5.411097 6.878502 9.017535 12.643898
2025-08-24 2.902423 3.485443 4.240582 5.331393 6.947129 9.413601 13.884914
2025-08-31 2.796958 3.400286 4.198778 5.384541 7.207651 10.136900 15.878476
2025-09-07 2.692599 3.307645 4.136799 5.398056 7.402708 10.778994 17.916782
2025-09-14 2.538243 3.137194 3.953524 5.213333 7.256741 10.801456 18.675185
2025-09-21 2.421116 3.011415 3.825126 5.100038 7.213018 10.997678 19.884260
2025-09-28 2.330566 2.917582 3.736242 5.039205 7.248271 11.343742 21.576448
2025-10-05 2.259846 2.847828 3.677717 5.020298 7.351792 11.838345 23.863308
2025-10-12 2.221031 2.823735 3.688190 5.118113 7.685230 12.895126 28.423853
2025-10-19 2.185889 2.803255 3.702934 5.224688 8.051504 14.122492 34.562881
2025-10-26 2.128315 2.746835 3.658835 5.227374 8.217934 14.933593 40.010264
2025-11-02 2.051293 2.658169 3.559739 5.127118 8.166798 15.200013 43.468075
2025-11-09 1.972078 2.563187 3.446234 4.993803 8.033868 15.231273 45.917521
2025-11-16 1.911918 2.494556 3.371201 4.923608 8.024775 15.594217 50.630346
2025-11-23 1.880699 2.468246 3.362026 4.970424 8.269076 16.725465 61.855874
2025-11-30 1.844102 2.432173 3.335074 4.982323 8.438586 17.696148 74.510185
2025-12-07 1.774394 2.342996 3.217947 4.819493 8.198568 17.348260 75.600667
2025-12-14 1.720665 2.276968 3.136492 4.719420 8.093730 17.418152 81.164444
2025-12-21 1.678893 2.228117 3.081348 4.665622 8.090200 17.822159 91.640239